November 24, 2006
Notes from the Pentagon
Pentagon politicals
The mandate would affect scores of Pentagon officials, from Deputy Defense Secretary Gordon England down to such positions as that held by Tony Dolan, one of Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld's low-profile special assistants, who works public affairs and speechwriting issues.
The officials tell us the mass resignations will be pro forma and simply allow Mr. Gates to pick and choose which ones to keep on during the final two years of the Bush administration.
Shinseki's back
The answer is no. Gen. Shinseki came back to Washington to witness the promotion of Col. Keith Walker, who is on the Army headquarters staff, to brigadier general.
The two soldiered together when Gen. Walker was a cavalry squadron captain and then-Maj. Shinseki was its executive officer. "Major Shinseki had a great and positive impact on Captain Walker," said Brig. Gen. Tony Cucolo, Army chief of public affairs. "Keith is a wonderful officer. One of our best from a great military family."
By the way, Gen. Shinseki was further vindicated last week, when Gen. John Abizaid, the top commander in the Iraq region, told the Senate Armed Services Committee that the general was correct in 2003 when he told the same committee that a larger invasion force was needed to keep order.
Senate Armed Services Chairman John W. Warner, Virginia Republican, said he could find no evidence that Gen. Shinseki ever officially recommended more troops to the Joint Chiefs of Staff, of which he was a member, or to Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld.
In another personnel development, Ronald J. James was sworn in Nov. 6 as assistant secretary of the Army for manpower and reserve affairs.
Faulty China intel
"The commission recommends that Congress instruct the director of national intelligence, working with the Department of Defense, to formulate and establish a more effective program for assessing the nature, extent and strategic and tactical implications of China's military modernization and development," the report stated.
The recommendation is a rare open criticism of U.S. intelligence related to Beijing's growing military buildup.
Defense officials tell us the main cause of poor U.S. intelligence estimates and analyses of the Chinese arms buildup is a pervasive bias among senior U.S. intelligence and policy-makers who have sought to play down or dismiss China's military efforts as non-threatening.
Among the key players is Thomas Fingar, a China specialist who is the deputy director of national intelligence for analysis and chairman of the National Intelligence Council. Another is Lonnie Henley, the deputy national intelligence officer for East Asia, who was recently investigated for supporting a former Defense Intelligence Agency analyst who illegally retained classified documents and passed top-secret intelligence to the Chinese military. A third key figure in numerous intelligence failures on the Chinese military is White House National Security Council Asia Director Dennis Wilder, who for years headed CIA analyses of the Chinese military and whose career is marked by frequent underestimates of the buildup.
The commission recommendation reflects a highly classified intelligence report produced last year that concluded U.S. intelligence analysts missed more than a dozen key military developments related to China's military for a decade.
Among the failures were China's development of a new long-range cruise missile; deployment of a new warship equipped with a stolen Chinese version of the U.S. Aegis battle management technology; deployment of a new attack submarine that was missed by U.S. intelligence; development of precision-guided munitions; and the importation of advanced weaponry, including Russian submarines, warships and fighter-bombers.
McCaffrey's view
Here are some excerpts from his presentation to a National Defense University conference.
Global war on terrorism:
Iraq:
Predictions:
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